Programme 20-23 October 2008
The Fifth Ensembles General Assembly will take place 20-23 October at the Magdalena Palace, Santander. Below is the final programme for the meeting.
Quicklinks: Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday
Monday 20 October 2008: Parallel Sessions
| Time | Item/Topic | Location |
|---|---|---|
| 0900-1000 | Registration | Great Entrance Hall |
| 1000-1230 (Coffee at 1100) |
Parallel sessions | Main Floor/First Floor |
| RT2A Reviewing the progress of the stream 2 simulations (30 pax) | Santo Mauro's Room (First floor, room 1) | |
| WP2B.2 and WP2B.3 (30 pax) | Bringas Room (Main floor, room 5) | |
| RT3 (30 pax) | Old Library (First floor, room 2) | |
| RT4 (40 pax) | Riancho Room (Main floor, room 4) | |
| Extremes | Infant's Room (First floor, room 3) | |
| 1230-1400 | Lunch and Gender Action Committee meeting | Dining Room x |
| 1400-1730 Coffee at 1530 |
Parallel sessions | Main Floor/First Floor |
| 1400-1500: RT2B, RT3, RT6 (WP6.2 and WP6.3) downstream communication session, for discussions on the RCM outputs. | Riancho Room (Main floor, room 4) | |
| 1400: RT8 (20 pax) | Infant's Room (First floor, room 3) | |
| 1400: RT2A Reviewing the progress of the stream 2 simulations (30 pax) | Santo Mauro Room (First floor, room 1) | |
| 1500: RT3 (20 pax) | Old Library (First floor, room 2) | |
| 1500: RT6 (30 pax) | Bringas Room (Main floor, room 5) | |
| 1700: Briefing session for RT leaders and facilitators about the parallel sessions on Thursday | Queen's Audience Room (Main floor, room 6) | |
| 1800 | Boat trip on the bay of Santander. "Tapas" tour at restaurants downtown (delegates to pay for themselves) | |
Tuesday 21 October 2008: Plenary Session
| Time | Item/Topic | Speaker | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0830 | Registration | Royal Stables | |
| 0900 | Welcoming speeches from local VIPs: José Carlos Gómez (Vice Provost for Research of UC), Francisco Cadarso (President of AEMET), Íñigo de la Serna (Mayor of Santander) | Auditorium | |
| 0930 | Introduction to GA5 (structure, aims and objectives for this meeting, including a description and the aims of the parallel sessions on Thursday morning) | Paul van der Linden (Met Office) | |
| 0950 | RT1 Seasonal to decadal predictions from the stream 2 simulations | Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF) | |
| 1010 | A Perturbed Physics Ensemble with EGMAM – Uncertainty in Cloud Feedbacks and Climate Sensitivity | Falk Niehörster (FUB) | |
| 1030 | Coffee break | ||
| 1100 | RT2A Progress and plans | Jean-François Royer (CNRM) | Auditorium |
| 1120 | Data availability of global seasonal-to-decadal ensemble simulations | Francisco Doblas-Reyes (ECMWF) | |
| 1140 | RCM weighting work in WP3.2 | Filippo Giorgi (ICTP) | |
| 1200 | Buffet lunch (provided) and Poster session | Dining room x | |
| 1400 | The role of model bias in regional climate change projections | Jens H Christensen (DMI) | Auditorium |
| 1420 | Present-climate evaluation and climate change projections for the water and heat budgets of the Mediterranean Sea using ENSEMBLES RCM simulations | Emilia Sanchez-Gomez (CNRM) | |
| 1440 | WP3.1 Analysis of resolution dependence of RCM performance | Sara Rauscher (ICTP) | |
| 1500 | RT2B Status of the RCM Climate change simulations | Daniela Jacob (MPI) | |
| 1530 | Coffee break | ||
| 1600 | Progress of the research project of multi-model ensembles and down-scaling methods for assessment of climate change around the Asian region | Izuru Takayabu (MRI, Japan) | Auditorium |
| 1620 | Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling methods and results in development across Canada | Philippe Gachon (Environment Canada) | |
| 1640 | ENSEMBLES interaction with the AMMA project (FP6) | Paolo Ruti (ENEA) | |
| 1700 | The Data Downscaling Portal: A user's perspective | José Manuel Gutiérrez (University Cantabria) | |
| 1720 | Discussion of the day's presentations and concluding remarks from Coordinator | John Mitchell (Met Office) | |
| 1730 | Close | ||
| 1800 | Local host reception (on-site) | ||
Wednesday 22 October 2008: Plenary Session
| Time | Item/Topic | Speaker | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0830 | Registration | Royal Stables | |
| 0900 | RT7: The E1 emissions scenario, development and use in climate models and policy development | Detlef van Vuuren (PBL) | Auditorium |
| 0920 | Can pattern scaling be used to expand the ENSEMBLES GCM-RCM matrix? | Lizzie Kendon (Met Office) | |
| 0940 | RT4 Progress and results to date, plans for the next year | Buwen Dong (Reading University) | |
| 1000 | Seasonal prediction of extreme European climate: Case studies of the summer 2003 and the winter 2005/06 | Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF) | |
| 1020 | Discussion of the morning's topics | John Mitchell (Met Office) | |
| 1030 | Coffee break | ||
| 1100 | Assessment of daily extremes from the RCM integrations | Erasmo Buonomo (Met Office) | Auditorium |
| 1120 | RT4 Contribution of the Northern Hemisphere snow cover to seasonal climate predictability | Hervé Douville (CNRM) | |
| 1140 | The mechanics of multi-model combination | Andreas Weigel (MeteoSwiss) | |
| 1200 | Buffet lunch (provided) and Mentor/Mentee meeting | Dining room x | |
| 1330 | Storminess in the ENSEMBLES simulations | Markus Donat (FUB) | Auditorium |
| 1350 | WP5.2/WP5.3 Intraseasonal variability | Prince Xavier (IPSL) | |
| 1410 | WP5.4 Analysis of precipitation extremes in transient RCM runs | Martin Hanel (KNMI) | |
| 1430 | RT6 Steps towards seamless integration for health impacts | Anne Jones/Cyril Caminade (Liverpool University) | |
| 1450 | RT6 Climate change and projected impacts on the electricity sector in France | Laurent Dubus (EDF) | |
| 1510 | RT6 Climate change and projected impacts in agriculture: an example on mediterranean crops | Roberto Ferrise (DISAT) | |
| 1530 | Coffee break | ||
| 1600 | Using RCM simulations from Ensembles to assess climate change impacts on hydrology and water resources | Phil Graham (SMHI) | Auditorium |
| 1620 | RT7 Overview of progress. Gender Action Plan/Mentoring Programme | Sari Kovats (LSHTM) | |
| 1640 | RT8 Overview of the activities of the past year, plans for the final year including workshops and stakeholder meetings | Martin Beniston (UNIGE) | |
| 1700 | Project overview from the Director. RT0 Progress on deliverables and meeting project's overall aims | Paul van der Linden (Met Office) | |
| 1730 | Close | ||
| 1900 | Conference Dinner, off-site within walking distance (delegates to pay for themselves) | ||
Thursday 23 October 2008
| Parallel meetings (Main Palace Building) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| The parallel meetings are based on the 3 aims of the project, which are: 1. Develop an EPS for Europe to produce probabilistic estimates of CC over different timescales 2. Quantify and reduce uncertainty in climate models 3. Link the outputs impact models for different systems/sectors The discussion in the parallel meetings should address: A. Progress across all RTs on the topic B. Work remaining to complete this topic in all RTs C. Integrating the topic across the project D. How the topic should be described/treated in the final report E. Problems in the treatment of this topic (gaps, etc) F. How the project goal on this topic has been accomplished. |
|||
| Riancho Room (Main Floor, room 4) | Bringas Room (Main Floor, room 5) | |
| 0900 | 1. Probabilistic projections (RT1, RT2A, RT2B, RT3 and RT6) RT1 facilitators: J Murphy and F Doblas-Reyes RT2A facilitator: P Rogel RT2B facilitator: tbd RT3 facilitator: J H Christensen RT6 facilitator: A Morse |
2. Reducing uncertainty (RT2A, RT2B, RT3, RT4, RT5, RT6, RT7) RT2A facilitator: H Huebener RT2B facilitator: D Jacob RT3 facilitator: tbd RT4 facilitator: B Dong or J-L Dufresne RT5 facilitator: E Manzini RT6 facilitator: tbd |
| 1030 | Coffee break | ||
| Plenary (Royal Stables) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1100 | Brief summary of the PROBABILISTIC PROJECTIONS parallel meeting followed by plenary discussion | Led by the facilitator(s) of the parallel meeting | |
| 1130 | Brief summary of the REDUCING UNCERTAINTY parallel meeting followed by plenary discussion | Led by the facilitator(s) of the parallel meeting | |
| Overview of science results. "Big Picture" presentations with emphasis on integration | |||
| 1200 | RT1 probabilistic projections of 21st century climate change at large regional scales | James Murphy (Met Office) | |
| 1220 | RT2A Multi-model assessment of anthropogenic climate change | Erich Roeckner (MPI) | |
| 1240 | RT3 Performance based RCM weighting | Jens Christensen (DMI) | |
| 1300 | Lunch (provided) | ||
| 1400 | RT2B methods for the construction of probabilistic regional climate projections and their application in impact modelling | Clare Goodess (UEA) | |
| 1420 | RT4 Large scale uncertainties of climate change projections (and how they may drive regional or local uncertainties) | Jean-Louis Dufresne (CNRS-IPSL) | |
| 1440 | RT5 Overview of key RT5 results and their integration across ENSEMBLES RTs | Albert Klein Tank (KNMI) | |
| 1500 | RT6 Overview of impact model results | Andy Morse (Livepool University) | |
| 1520 | Concluding remarks from the project Co-ordinator | John Mitchell (Met Office) | |
| 1530 | End of General Assembly and coffee break | ||
Friday 24 October 2008
0830-1330: Ensembles Management Board
Last updated 15 October, 2008